South Asia

The targeting of undersea cable infrastructure highlights the growing use of grey zone warfare by Western adversaries such as China and Russia. Nations targeted by grey zone tactics are best positioned to mitigate the threat through collaboration. In the case of protecting deep-sea cables, solutions include enhanced surveillance, AI integration, and deploying UUVs. The multitude of challenges posed by grey zone warfare demands ongoing multilateral cooperation and investment. This will be made harder by actors who continue to refine new methods and technologies to undermine and neutralise countermeasures.

Global Deep Dive - Undersea Cable Sabotage Underscores Ongoing Threat of Grey Zone Warfare

With growing political will, multiple countries are recognising and developing solutions to the challenges posed by grey zone warfare. However, the matter will require ongoing multilateral cooperation and investment. This will be made harder by actors who continue to refine new methods and technologies to undermine and neutralise countermeasures.

Jun 275 min read

Peacebuilding efforts remain predominantly informed by short-term political opportunism, and remain highly susceptible to being derailed by personal disagreements between leaders or shifts in the political preferences of domestic supporters. · Conflicts such as those witnessed in Nagorno-Karabakh, Sudan, Yemen, and Myanmar, are assessed as unlikely to warrant American peacebuilding efforts due to their lack of perceived ability to generate US prestige or business concessions. · Border regions between Israel and Palestine, India and Pakistan, and Russia and Ukraine all remain highly likely to witness violent clashes over the next several months, posing continued disruption to personal travel and corporate supply chains.

Trump the Peacebuilder? Impacts of American Peace Efforts on Global Stability

Renewed peacebuilding efforts by the Trump administration are deemed as unlikely to increase regional stability in their targeted areas. · President Trump remains highly motivated by the desire to be perceived as a “dealmaker” by his domestic supporter base, and to secure concessions for his family’s business operations.

Jun 17 min read

Afghanistan: The Taliban - From International Pariah to Russian Ally?

For many companies operating in the broader region, the prospect of greater Russian influence will be unwelcome. With terrorism continuing to pose a threat, companies operating in Central Asia face an ongoing threat to their infrastructure. Instability in Afghanistan and the Taliban’s limited ability to contain ISK could easily lead to cross-border attacks or unrest in other Central Asian states. Targeting oil and gas infrastructure could cause significant economic damage and

May 45 min read

India-Pakistan - Regional Diplomatic Tensions Worsen Following Kashmir Attack

India has accused Pakistan of being involved in the attack, which Pakistan denies. India also threatened a “loud and clear” response to the incident. More than 1,500 people have been arrested by the police across Jammu and Kashmir, and several demonstrations were held in Srinagar over the attack. On 25 April 2025, media reported indicated that both sides exchanged gunfire along the Line of Control, which separates the two countries, but the report did not specify the exact lo

Apr 274 min read

Pakistan - Militants Hijack Jaffar Express Train In Balochistan

The incident marks the first time that an entire train has been hijacked by militants in Pakistan, though the Jaffar Express has been targeted previously by groups such as Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). The attack not only highlights the ongoing deterioration of the security situation in Pakistan’s southwest region but also reflects the evolving capabilities and determination of the BLA in their fight for political and economic control over the mineral-rich area. It was

Mar 124 min read

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