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North Korean IT operations generated an estimated $350–800 million in 2024, exposing businesses through recruitment and outsourcing. US prosecutions document hundreds of affected companies, stolen identities and multimillion-dollar remediation costs. WaterPlum compromised 30,000 devices across more than 100 countries, demonstrating the reach of fraudulent recruitment. North Korea denies responsibility for the $6.43 billion Binance theft; subsequent findings identify a fake in

Türkiye has expanded its strategic reach by integrating into the Mecca Defence Alliance with Pakistan and Saudi Arabia. This emerging axis aims to establish collective deterrence against any act of aggression, with Article 2 stipulating that an armed attack against any one of the three countries will be considered an attack against all.

Brazil’s first presidential election round has triggered a systemic shock, putting conservative Flávio Bolsonaro in the lead and accelerating a potential pro-market “Blue Wave” in Latin America. Brazil’s dependence on exports to China makes formal withdrawal from BRICS highly unlikely, potentially pushing a right-wing government towards weakening the bloc from within and realigning with Washington.

CJP-led protests, opposition coordination and international attention could broaden the electoral dispute into a sustained political challenge, increasing the risk of disruption to public order and business activity. The ECI’s authority to conduct Special Intensive Revision (SIR) and its stated unanimous decisions challenge sweeping accusations of illegitimacy; specific implementation complaints require evidence and resolution.

Geopolitical and security pressures are reshaping aviation's connectivity, competitiveness and commercial resilience. Restricted routes increase fuel consumption and emissions, while lost cargo capacity can push freight prices up well beyond the conflict zone. The attempted terrorist attack aboard flydubai FZ1073 highlights the importance of vetting, screening and intelligence sharing in aviation security.

The Gulf security picture has shifted noticeably over the past week. Sea lanes, energy infrastructure and air travel are all under pressure at the same time. For organisations with people, assets or supply chains in the region, this is a time to prepare, not panic.

River systems are not only trade routes but also pathways through which criminal networks and major global powers exert territorial control. Strategic waterways like the Paraguay–Paraná, Mekong, and Congo have become sites for drug trafficking, resource smuggling, and intense competition between Washington and Beijing for strategic resources and geopolitical power.

Iran-backed militias in Iraq have opened a northern front against Saudi petroleum infrastructure. The Houthis are simultaneously threatening Saudi ports, pipelines and tankers from Yemen. The attack on the Saudi-flagged tanker Encelia showed that the campaign extends beyond land-based infrastructure into the Red Sea.

The Arctic is becoming an increasingly important region due to climate change, opening previously inaccessible sea routes and creating new economic opportunities. Emerging shipping corridors could reshape global trade by reducing journey times between Europe and Asia, while competition increases between countries seeking influence over Arctic infrastructure. Growing activity in the Arctic is likely to create new security challenges, with implications for businesses oper

Canada is deepening ties with Saudi Arabia and the UAE as Ottawa seeks greater trade and investment diversification. Mark Carney's Saudi visit produced more than C$1 billion in commercial agreements across technology, infrastructure, mining and defence. The UAE's major investment commitment has highlighted the practical challenge of matching available capital with sufficiently advanced Canadian projects.

Key Takeaways Violence-as-a-Service is transforming organised crime, allowing criminal groups to outsource violent acts through online recruitment and encrypted communications. Young people are increasingly being targeted and exploited via social media and messaging platforms to carry out serious offences on behalf of organised crime networks. The threat is driving greater international cooperation, with the UK participating in Europol’s Operational Taskforce GRIMM to disrupt

Colombia's "Total Peace" strategy under Petro failed to reduce armed group activity, rebel numbers nearly doubled to roughly 27,000 fighters by 2026, and 2025 became one of the deadliest years in a decade. Abelardo De La Espriella won the presidency on 21 June by less than one percentage point, pledging a 90-day military offensive and an end to all peace talks.

Pashinyan’s victory transforms Armenia from an isolated country into a strategic corridor between Europe and Asia, unlocking new logistical, energy, and digital routes. The normalisation of relations with Azerbaijan and Turkey marks the end of decades of belligerence in the South Caucasus. Yerevan is accelerating its distancing from Russia and moving closer to the EU, while still managing its economic dependence on the Kremlin.

Israel, Egypt and Cyprus are developing a functional gas corridor that links Israeli production, Egyptian LNG infrastructure and future Cypriot offshore fields. The corridor is commercially useful but politically fragile, with Gaza, Palestinian offshore gas, Cyprus’s divided status and Turkey’s maritime claims all shaping the risk environment. Companies should monitor offshore security restrictions, Egypt’s LNG utilisation, Cyprus project timelines, Turkey’s maritime posture.

Rising anti-immigration sentiment across both Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland is increasingly shaping the protest landscape, with migration pressures, housing concerns and high-profile incidents acting as key triggers for mobilisation. The open border under the Common Travel Area enables rapid cross-border movement, meaning demonstrations in Belfast and Dublin can draw overlapping supporter bases and increase the scale, visibility and unpredictability of prote

Demonstrations and civil mobilisations concerning major international political events are common, especially for the G7. This time around, US President Trump’s foreign policy with Iran is at the forefront. For European leaders, this means dealing with Trump’s political plans and addressing Russia’s war on Ukraine.

Key takeaways Island sovereignty acts as a defensive paradox, where maritime isolation provides a strong protective moat against invasion, but leaves nations vulnerable to economic collapse via naval blockades. A 2026 US energy blockade targeting Cuba's fuel imports has triggered a humanitarian and economic crisis, marked by 20-hour daily blackouts, toxic waste burning, and violent protests. Washington is increasing pressure on Cuba to eliminate a perceived, nearby Marxist

Crime is falling. So why do so many people feel less safe? It’s a paradox that sits at the heart of the UK’s current security landscape. Understanding the threat landscape isn’t just about analysing crime data - it’s about understanding how people experience and interpret risk.

Key takeaways Anti-immigration tensions in South Africa have intensified, with groups calling for stricter immigration enforcement and the removal of undocumented migrants. Reports of vigilante activity, business closures, and attacks on migrant communities have raised concerns over a potential escalation in the unrest. Regional fallout is growing, with Ghana and Mozambique repatriating citizens, while several African governments issue warnings to nationals in South Africa.

Railways, particularly the Lobito Corridor and the Tanzania–Zambia Railway, have regained strategic importance as they connect the Copperbelt to the Atlantic and Indian Oceans. Transport infrastructure has become a key instrument of international influence and geopolitical power. Global competition driven by control over routes bringing critical minerals to world markets allows African countries to leverage this rivalry to attract investment and development.