Global

Although external support in Mali has strengthened the military and prevented regime collapse, it has failed to restore control over large parts of the country. Insurgent groups such as JNIM have employed tactics, including blockades and ambushes, to weaken state forces before attacks and sustain pressure over time. More coercive operations have alienated local communities, contributing to insurgent recruitment and reinforcing the dynamics they aim to resolve.

The sea has always been a space of trade, crime and power. What is changing is the density of threats and the number of actors willing to use vessels as instruments of leverage. Piracy has not disappeared, but it is no longer the whole story. Future maritime risk map will be shaped as much by states, sanctions, militias and militarised law enforcement as by pirates with weapons and ladders.

Magyar’s speeches and statements after being elected Hungary’s new Prime Minister, effectively ousting Viktor Orbán, reflect an eagerness to cooperate with Austria economically and politically. ● Magyar’s accession reflects Central European nations’ goal to create an informal alliance to strengthen their presence in the European Union.

Since 2020, five West African countries have experienced military coups - Mali, Guinea, Burkina Faso, Chad, and Niger - with several now under junta rule. This political shift has further weakened already fragile state institutions and reduced cooperation with external partners, limiting coordinated responses to cross-border threats.

Péter Magyar’s Tisza Party secured a supermajority, ending Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s 16-year rule and providing a mandate to overhaul the constitution. Orbán's 2024 decline was driven by a child-abuse pardon scandal that damaged his party’s image, coupled with sustained economic stagnation and ineffective campaign strategies.

Geopolitical energy shocks can translate into nationwide unrest and infrastructure disruption within days, not weeks. Protest tactics and grievances are spreading across Europe, increasing the risk of cross-border contagion. Energy security is now a public order and national resilience issue, not just an economic concern.

The publicity of the Artemis II mission revealed the public’s interest in space and lunar exploration, reflecting NASA’s ambitions in a rising competitive field. ●The Artemis program sees significant collaboration with the private sector, including in manufacturing and developing spaceship components, lunar habitats, resource exploration and extraction, energy infrastructures, etc.

Unlike the 1991 Gulf War, this war is unfolding in a fragmented digital environment where information is abundant in volume but increasingly constrained in quality and access.

The joint US-Israel war against Iran has experienced significant strategic ambiguity, with initial goals of regime change conflicting with stated aims of neutralising nuclear and conventional capabilities. Despite Trump’s optimism, a massive diplomatic gap exists between Washington and Tehran, casting doubt on the likelihood of a deal being reached.

The escalation following the start of US‑Israeli coordinated strikes on Iran since 28 February 2026, has intensified geopolitical uncertainty across the Middle East, with clear reverberations in the United Kingdom through heightened protest activity and counter‑terrorism (CT) considerations.

Ports are no longer just trade gateways; they now shape resilience, industrial policy and geopolitical influence. Control over terminals, chokepoints and port networks increasingly affects supply chains, investment decisions and commercial risk. From Panama to Piraeus to Syria, port investment is becoming a signal of strategic ambition and business positioning.

NATO has made significant progress in strengthening deterrence since 2022 but European reliance on the United States for key military capabilities remains a structural vulnerability. Closer coordination between Russia and China is creating a more complex global security landscape, stretching NATO’s ability to respond in multiple regions. To maintain readiness, Europe must invest in transport networks, forward deployments, and joint defence production.

The Biodiversity Beyond National Jurisdiction Agreement (High Seas Treaty) recently came into effect, and could inform the future use of international waters and the seabed. International waters and seabeds offer resources that are increasingly sought after. Affecting critical industries and supply chains, a variety of actors will likely be affected if the High Seas Treaty comes to full implementation and ratification.

Digital infrastructure is becoming a conflict target. Recent drone strikes affecting cloud facilities in the UAE and Bahrain show that hyperscale data centres may now face physical security risks during regional conflict. The Gulf functions as both an energy and digital chokepoint. Critical subsea fibre optic cables linking Europe, Asia and Africa pass through the Red Sea, Gulf of Oman and Strait of Hormuz, placing global internet connectivity alongside major maritime trad

China’s annual Two Sessions meetings have offered insight into the country’s direction in the coming years. The meetings have been overshadowed by a sweeping purge of China’s military leadership, fuelling speculation over political infighting at the top of the PLA. Beijing’s lowest GDP growth target in decades underscores mounting economic strain, as deflation, trade frictions, and structural weaknesses constrain China’s recovery despite ambitious employment goals.

In February, tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan escalated into one of the most serious confrontations between the two countries in years. Cross-border airstrikes, retaliatory attacks, and accusations over militant safe havens have highlighted the fragility of security along the Afghanistan-Pakistan frontier.

Township violence reflects long-standing structural inequality, unemployment, and limited economic mobility. Illegal mining networks have become powerful criminal systems. They don’t just steal resources; they control territory with weapons, ensuring that communities live in fear. Reducing crime requires more than police alone. Without public trust in the police and government institutions, long-term stability becomes difficult.

The latest phase of the Israel–US–Iran confrontation has moved beyond signalling into direct and measurable pressure on the global energy system. What distinguishes this episode is not only the targeting of specific assets, but the simultaneous stress imposed on production capacity, export processing hubs and maritime transit. The result is not merely a geopolitical risk premium, but a layered supply constraint with identifiable volumes at stake. Markets are no longer pricing

The regional security environment has entered a period of sustained escalation following coordinated US and Israeli strikes against Iranian leadership and military infrastructure. Iran’s response through missile and drone attacks across Israel and multiple Gulf states demonstrates a strategy aimed less at direct battlefield advantage and more at expanding the geographic scope of the conflict.

Despite the violent retaliation by the cartel members, the operation perceived internally to have been a success, both for Mexican authorities and for the future of joint coordination work with Washington. While short-term insecurities were largely stamped down, more violence and clashes are expected in the long term until the cartel finds a new head. Further political, business and security risks cannot be discounted in the weeks ahead especially in the state of Jalis