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Global


Green Funds, Black Gold: Brazil’s Climate Contradictions and Opportunities following COP30
Brazil’s climate leadership is undercut by policy contradictions: green funds on one hand, new oil drilling on the other.
Indigenous exclusion is stoking unrest, exposing firms to social and reputational risk.
ESG disclosure rules now demand verifiable, auditable data, heightening scrutiny of supply chains.
The Amazon has become a testing ground for both corporate ethics and regulatory resolve.
Nov 14, 20254 min read


You’ll Pay For That! - The Shopping Model for Crime
Crime-as-a-Service (CaaS) has transformed cybercrime into a commercial ecosystem, lowering the barrier for anyone to commit complex attacks. Ransomware-as-a-Service (RaaS) remains the most profitable and damaging CaaS model, driving record global and UK cybercrime losses. CaaS markets thrive on anonymity, cryptocurrency, and specialisation, mirroring legitimate tech-industry dynamics. UK law enforcement and policymakers are responding with proposed bans on ransom payments and
Nov 13, 202511 min read


From Smuggling to Surveillance: A Situational Analysis of Drone Use in UK Prisons
UK prisons are facing a growing drone threat, as criminal networks increasingly use unmanned aerial vehicles to smuggle drugs, weapons, and contraband into secure facilities.
Drone-facilitated smuggling fuels organised crime, disrupts daily prison life, and hinders rehabilitation by maintaining a pervasive drug culture.
Counter-drone technology is evolving, with systems such as Sky Fence and advanced detection methods, but current measures remain inconsistent across pri
Nov 12, 20257 min read


Japan / USA - Trump on Expanding East Asian Rare Earth Deals
Trump and Takaichi’s meeting on 28 October enabled significant trade deals on rare earth extraction and processing, as well as nuclear energy development projects.
● Trump’s APEC meeting with Xi on 30 October marked a temporary stop to the Chinese rare earth curbs.
● As rare earths are increasingly sought and needed in manufacturing modern technologies, a wider variety of industries are affected by movement and disruptions in the rare earth supply chain.
Nov 3, 20257 min read


The Digital Transformation and Evolution of Crime: A Threat Landscape Overview
Nearly all serious and organised crime now has a digital footprint, driven by global connectivity and emerging technologies, highlighting a stark contrast from how serious and organised crime has been known to operate in the past.
Emerging technologies most commonly seen to aid and abet criminal activity include the dark web, cryptocurrency, cybercrime, encryption, and Artificial Intelligence (AI).
Cybercrime costs are projected to surpass $12.1 trillion by 2031, making
Oct 31, 20258 min read


How Kazakhstan is Hedging Against a Russian Invasion
Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine has shattered assumptions about its strategic limits, showing that ideology and historical ambition can override logic. Moscow has sought to keep Kazakhstan as firmly within its sphere of influence as possible. Astana’s contingency planning against a potential Russian incursion has become a central pillar of its foreign policy. Kazakhstan has pursued a multivector approach, balancing ties with Russia, China, and the West.demographics, and log
Oct 30, 202510 min read


Sino-Russian Trade Agreement Highlights the Arctic as an Avenue for Global Supply Chain Vulnerabilities
China and Russia have signed an agreement to jointly commercialise and develop the Northern Sea Route, focusing on technological exchange and infrastructure development.
● As a strategically located maritime route containing vast resources, countries are expressing a growing appetite for investment.
● Tourism, shipping, mining, development, and various other industries interested in expanding into the Arctic need to account for the significant insurance costs, unp
Oct 24, 20257 min read


Cameroon at a Crossroads - The Intersection of Election Violence and Struggle for Leadership Change
Pre- and post-election violence in the country highlights growing dissatisfaction with President Paul Biya’s long rule and raises concerns about the legitimacy of the electoral process.
The ongoing violence could lead to additional security measures, including restrictions on movement. Furthermore, western governments out of fear of escalating violence may issue travel warnings for their citizens.
Armed groups and insurgents operating in the country could exploit the unre
Oct 23, 20254 min read


Madagascar: Elite Military Unit Seizes Power After Siding With “Gen Z” Protesters
Youth-led protests in Madagascar, initially sparked by chronic water and electricity shortages, culminated in a military seizure of power and President Rajoelina’s fleeing the country.
The ensuing political crisis highlights deep structural and systematic challenges, including high poverty rates and inequality.
A resolution to the crisis is dependent on whether the military leadership can successfully manage the transition timeline.
Oct 16, 20253 min read


Understanding Hate Crime in the UK - Trends, Impacts and Government Response
According to the latest UK Home Office crime statistics, data for the year ending March 2024 demonstrates a 25% increase in the number of religious hate crimes compared to the previous year.
Spikes in hate crime can be partially attributed to the Israel-Hamas conflict, which began in October 2023.
National Hate Crime Awareness week will take place from 11 to 18 October 2025.
The UK government has implemented the Hate Crime Strategy 2025-2028 to reduce the impact of h
Oct 8, 20255 min read


Joseph Kabila’s Sentencing: A Possible Game Changer in the Eastern DRC Conflict
Kabila's sentencing might worsen ongoing crisis in Congo, possibly causing more violence as various groups/movements react to the ruling.
The trial raises concerns about how the country’s justice system is being used for political gains, suggesting that the Tshisekedi administration may be targeting major opposition.
The court’s ruling poses a threat to the already fragile peace agreements between DRC and Rwanda/M23, complicating efforts to bring stability to the Great
Oct 7, 20254 min read


Indonesia/Nepal/The Philippines: The Role of Social Media in the Recent Protests Across Asia
The recent string of youth-led protests across Indonesia, Nepal, and the Philippines highlights a shared sense of frustration at corruption and inequality.
The pivotal role played by social media platforms, from offering an outlet for the generation of collective grievances to exposing the brutality of law enforcement’s response, was a notable catalyst.
Oct 6, 20257 min read


A New Era of “Gen Z” Activism: The Use of Social Media in Reshaping Local Politics
Recent anti-government protests, often labelled as “Gen Z” movements, have been driven by deep-seated discontent with poor governance, corruption, economic inequality and high unemployment rates, which affect young populations.
Over the years, social media has changed the face of activism as various platforms have evolved into crucial elements in mass mobilisation and content dissemination.
Oct 2, 20254 min read


Drones in Denmark – Airport Disruptions Raise Fears of State-Sponsored Sabotage
State-sponsored sabotage is assessed as the most likely explanation for the incursions, which have been described by Danish government officials as a "hybrid attack" and "systematic operation."
The tactics, locations, and timing of the incursions suggest deliberate efforts to test the responses of NATO air defences and undermine political unity ahead of the European Political Community meeting, which is due to take place in Copenhagen on 02 October 2025.
Sep 30, 20254 min read


UK - Planned introduction of Digital ID - Security issues vs Freedom?
Supporters see the digital ID as a practical tool to curb illegal working, reduce fraud, and streamline access to public and private services, drawing on international examples such as Estonia and Denmark. Critics, including civil liberties groups, warn of risks to privacy, potential “mission creep,” and the emergence of a surveillance culture, with more than 2.4 million people signing petitions against the policy. Political and public reaction has been deeply divided, with p
Sep 29, 20257 min read


Jewish and Israeli Communities Face Heightened Risks During Holiday Period
Palestinian nationalists, Islamist fundamentalists, and other anti-Israeli extremist groups may seek to target synagogues, Israeli settlements (particularly in Golan Heights), diaspora communities, and Israeli-linked shipping operators in the Red Sea using violent tactics for ideological and political reasons.
Significant security measures are likely to be implemented within Israel during this period, posing potential disruptions to business operations and transportation
Sep 25, 20255 min read


US / Mexico / Canada: Risks, Challenges, and Threats Ahead of the 2026 FIFA World Cup
Planning for the June-July 2026 FIFA World Cup in North America is well underway. As the world’s most-watched sporting event, addressing the challenges and threats associated with the tournament is a major focus. With the matches set to be played in 16 venues across the US, Canada, and Mexico, the tournament expanding from 32 teams to 48, and five million people expected to attend, risk planning is a complex, multinational undertaking.
Sep 23, 20256 min read


Mali - JNIM intensifies “economic war” in an effort to expand its control beyond the Sahel
The blockade in Kayes region imposed by JNIM reflects a major strategic shift toward economic disruption in the region.
JNIM’s recent activities in the country demonstrate the level of control they exert, particularly in Mali’s western border areas.
The military’s focus on protecting its image could be a major obstacle to achieving success in the fight against jihadists.
The recent blockade may prompt some companies in the affected area to evaluate their operations a
Sep 19, 20254 min read


UK - Implications of 13 September 'Unite The Kingdom Rally' and Counter-Protest, London
The event highlights the growing visibility and scale of far-right mobilisation in the UK, linking domestic movements with international networks, and demonstrates the operational challenges for authorities in managing large-scale demonstrations.
Online amplification of attendance claims and messaging suggests continued efforts to build momentum for future rallies, while counter-protests remain a focal point of opposition.
Sep 17, 20254 min read


The Death of Diplomacy - Israel Strikes Hamas Negotiators in Qatar
On 09 September 2025, Israel conducted an unprecedented missile strike against Hamas negotiators in Doha, Qatar, killing five junior Hamas officials and a Qatari security officer.
The strike marks a major escalation of security tensions in the Gulf region, and suggests that Israel is broadening its definition of national security threats to justify targeting enemies on foreign soil.
Sep 12, 20255 min read

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