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UK - Planned introduction of Digital ID - Security issues vs Freedom?
Supporters see the digital ID as a practical tool to curb illegal working, reduce fraud, and streamline access to public and private services, drawing on international examples such as Estonia and Denmark. Critics, including civil liberties groups, warn of risks to privacy, potential “mission creep,” and the emergence of a surveillance culture, with more than 2.4 million people signing petitions against the policy. Political and public reaction has been deeply divided, with p
Sep 297 min read


Jewish and Israeli Communities Face Heightened Risks During Holiday Period
Palestinian nationalists, Islamist fundamentalists, and other anti-Israeli extremist groups may seek to target synagogues, Israeli settlements (particularly in Golan Heights), diaspora communities, and Israeli-linked shipping operators in the Red Sea using violent tactics for ideological and political reasons.
Significant security measures are likely to be implemented within Israel during this period, posing potential disruptions to business operations and transportation
Sep 255 min read


US / Mexico / Canada: Risks, Challenges, and Threats Ahead of the 2026 FIFA World Cup
Planning for the June-July 2026 FIFA World Cup in North America is well underway. As the world’s most-watched sporting event, addressing the challenges and threats associated with the tournament is a major focus. With the matches set to be played in 16 venues across the US, Canada, and Mexico, the tournament expanding from 32 teams to 48, and five million people expected to attend, risk planning is a complex, multinational undertaking.
Sep 236 min read


Mali - JNIM intensifies “economic war” in an effort to expand its control beyond the Sahel
The blockade in Kayes region imposed by JNIM reflects a major strategic shift toward economic disruption in the region.
JNIM’s recent activities in the country demonstrate the level of control they exert, particularly in Mali’s western border areas.
The military’s focus on protecting its image could be a major obstacle to achieving success in the fight against jihadists.
The recent blockade may prompt some companies in the affected area to evaluate their operations a
Sep 194 min read


UK - Implications of 13 September 'Unite The Kingdom Rally' and Counter-Protest, London
The event highlights the growing visibility and scale of far-right mobilisation in the UK, linking domestic movements with international networks, and demonstrates the operational challenges for authorities in managing large-scale demonstrations.
Online amplification of attendance claims and messaging suggests continued efforts to build momentum for future rallies, while counter-protests remain a focal point of opposition.
Sep 174 min read


The Death of Diplomacy - Israel Strikes Hamas Negotiators in Qatar
On 09 September 2025, Israel conducted an unprecedented missile strike against Hamas negotiators in Doha, Qatar, killing five junior Hamas officials and a Qatari security officer.
The strike marks a major escalation of security tensions in the Gulf region, and suggests that Israel is broadening its definition of national security threats to justify targeting enemies on foreign soil.
Sep 125 min read


Poland/Russia: Russian Drones Entering Polish Airspace Forces Multinational NATO Response
Over the night of Tuesday 09 to Wednesday 10 September 2025, 19 Russian drones were launched into Polish airspace as part of a broader drone attack on Ukraine. The incident required a multinational response from NATO, with several drones being shot down.
Fears are growing that Putin is seeking to portray an image of power amid the ongoing war in Ukraine, while also testing Western resolve.
Sep 115 min read


U.S. Drug Operation Targeting Suspected Venezuelan-Linked Drug Cartel Raises Tensions in Latin America
President Nicolas Maduro of Venezuela, during a press conference on 01 September 2025, made several remarks concerning reports that the U.S. government is increasing its military presence in the Southern Caribbean, aimed at targeting drug cartels in the region. Maduro expressed intentions to “declare a republic in arms” if U.S. forces launch an attack against his country. For several weeks, he had raised concerns about this naval deployment, comprising “8 ships with 1,200 mis
Sep 105 min read


UK - London “Free Speech Festival” and Counter-Protest both set to attract at least tens of thousands in capital – 13 September 2025
On 13 September 2025, central London will host two large, opposing demonstrations: Tommy Robinson’s “Free Speech Festival” and a counter-protest led by Stand Up To Racism (SUTR) and allied anti-fascist groups. Based on previous demonstrations organised and promoted by Tommy Robinson, attendance is likely to be in high tens of thousands. Organisers are claiming it could attract at least 150,000 'patriots' but quoting interest from at least 500,000 people and mark the biggest r
Sep 85 min read


The New Frontline: The Spread of Terrorism from the Sahel into Coastal West Africa
JNIM has pushed to expand from Burkina Faso toward Niger, and southward toward Benin, Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana, and Togo over the years. Benin and Togo continue to face an increasing number of attacks, while Ghana remains on high alert due to its proximity to Burkina Faso and Togo and an ongoing chieftaincy crisis in the country’s north. Northern Togo has also seen a rise in attacks as militants target Togolese soldiers in the border areas.
Sep 75 min read


Under Siege - The Threat of Russian Sabotage in Eastern Europe
Russia’s security and intelligence services have intensified sabotage and subversion operations across Eastern Europe, employing tactics from GPS signal jamming to arson attacks. The recent signal jamming attack conducted against Ursula von der Leyen’s plane in southern Bulgaria highlights the growing extent to which Russian operatives are willing and able to target high-profile political figures.
Sep 56 min read


China/The Philippines: Deteriorating Sino-Philippine Relations Underscore Escalating Threats in the South China Sea
Contemplating a future conflict involving China tends to evoke scenarios such as an invasion of Taiwan, a border escalation with India, or even a confrontation with the United States. However, with Beijing’s increasing assertiveness on the international stage reshaping power dynamics, the number of potential flashpoints is growing.
Sep 47 min read


USA / China: The Importance of Semiconductors in the Escalating Sino-American Strategic Competition
On 31 July 2025, China raised concerns over potential security risks in Nvidia’s H20 artificial intelligence (AI) chip, casting uncertainty over the US company's sales prospects in China. In particular, the Cyberspace Administration of China (CAC) took issue with the proposal for the chips to include tracking and positioning functions.
Aug 198 min read


Guinea-Bissau: President Sissoco removes Prime Minister amid institutional crisis
Barros’s dismissal underscores ongoing power struggles as President Sissoco clings to power ahead of the upcoming November 2025 elections.
The upcoming elections may face credibility issues due to the fact that CNE has lost its authority to function legitimately.
Continued tensions between the government and opposition may lead to unrest in the near future, particularly if further actions taken by Sissoco’s government undermine the opposition's role in Guinea-Bissau’s p
Aug 144 min read


Angola: Deadly Protests Expose Economic Problems
The recurring anti-movement demonstrations have continually highlighted Angola’s questionable political leadership and deep rooted economic challenges. The situation places President João Lourenço, and his administration under scrutiny for clamping down on protesters and for police brutality against civilians. Although calm has been restored to most areas where violence occurred, the risk of renewed protests remains, as the government has yet to complete the subsidy removal p
Aug 54 min read


Ghana: Ethnic Tensions in Bawku Undermine National Security
Ghana’s northern porous borders and Bawku's proximity to Togo and Burkina Faso make it a critical national security concern, mainly due to the spread of jihadist activities in the Sahel and extremists’ expansionist ambitions in the coastal region.
The prolonged conflict has led to the indefinite closure of key businesses, crippling economic activity and local governance, risking long-term economic marginalisation.
Aug 45 min read


Türkiye – A Sleeping Giant?
Arguably, the key to understanding Türkiye’s rise can be found in its internal politics, where two major developments have reshaped the nation’s power structures in recent weeks. Firstly, the disbanding of the PKK, announced by leader Abdullah Ocalan in mid-May 2025, will significantly reduce security tensions in Türkiye’s southern and eastern regions, allowing for an expansion of the central government’s presence in these previously unstable areas.
Aug 17 min read


Central African Republic - Former militia leaders sentenced by ICC amid ongoing war crime investigations
On 24 July 2025, the International Criminal Court (ICC) convicted two ex-militia commanders, Alfred Yekatom and Patrice Edouard Ngaïssona, of multiple war crimes and crimes against humanity. Their crimes included the killings of predominantly Muslim civilians and a deliberate attack on a religious building during the conflict that erupted between 2013 and 2014.
Jul 304 min read


Egypt: Giza Raid Highlights Possible Resurgence of the Hasm Movement
he arrests suggest that Hasm retains operational capability and the group’s intentions to resurface, contrary to previous reports that the movement has been suppressed. Hasm’s propaganda video also strongly suggests efforts to ramp up recruitment by appealing to disillusioned youth. Egyptian authorities are likely to intensify counterterrorism operations in areas such as Cairo, Faiyum, Damietta, and Beheira.
Jul 274 min read


UK Far-right mobilisation and hotel protests: Is another summer of unrest looming?
Far-right mobilisation may intensify in the coming weeks, particularly around asylum hotels and key symbolic dates, with a heightened risk of escalation and social unrest at some confirmed anti-immigration protests that could attract participants with disruptive or extremist affiliations.
The spread of misinformation appears to be an increasingly influential driver of protest activity, with unverified claims alone capable of triggering rapid mobilisation and significant po
Jul 257 min read

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